How it finished
Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 20 (11), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 20 (11), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Seattle Sounders FC 2–2 Chicago Fire FC, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 44%, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire FC 31%.
What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 3–11, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–1, Corners 4–7, Saves 9–1, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 69%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.