Seattle Sounders FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–0. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 12 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Seattle Sounders FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–0. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 12 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.4.
Seattle Sounders FC 2–0 Real Salt Lake, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 51%, the draw 24% and Real Salt Lake 25%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.4, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–6, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–2.
No. It finished 2–0, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 75%, it finished Seattle Sounders FC won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Seattle Sounders FC to win 51%, it finished Landed.