Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake prediction — MLS · Thu 24 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Thu 24 Sept · 02:30 UK
Seattle Sounders FC 51Draw 24Real Salt Lake 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
Seattle Sounders FC or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
82%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Seattle Sounders FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–0. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 12 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.4.

Seattle…Full-time statsReal Salt…
53%Possession47%
0.9Expected goals (xG)0.4
11Shots12
4Shots on target2
7Shots inside box7
1Big chances0
7Corners6
2Saves2
10Fouls9
0Offsides2
4Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSeattle Sounders FC or draw 75%Seattle Sounders FC won (51% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed
Second pickSeattle Sounders FC to win 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Seattle Sounders FCReal Salt Lake
1.8
Goals+0.6
1.3
15.7
Shots+1.9
13.8
5.2
On target+0.3
5.6
4.9
Corners+0.1
4.8
Seattle Sounders FCReal Salt Lake
0.6
Goals
0.6
7.1
Shots+1.1
6.0
2.3
On target
2.3
2.3
Corners+0.1
2.3
Seattle Sounders FCReal Salt Lake
1.3
Goals+0.6
0.7
8.6
Shots+0.8
7.8
2.9
On target+0.3
3.3
2.6
Corners+0.1
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Seattle Sounders FC to score84%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Real Salt Lake to score71%
Under 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Seattle Sounders FC
58%
to score before half-time
Real Salt Lake
57%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%

Seattle Sounders FCReal Salt Lake
7.11st-half shots6.0
2.31st-half shots on target2.3
2.31st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

65%Chance of 6+ shots52%
41%Chance of 8+ shots29%
86%Chance of 1+ shots on target86%
39%Chance of 3+ shots on target39%
86%Chance of 1+ corners85%
39%Chance of 3+ corners38%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Seattle Sounders FC7.18.6
Shots · Real Salt Lake6.07.8
Shots on target · Seattle Sounders FC2.32.9
Shots on target · Real Salt Lake2.33.3
Corners · Seattle Sounders FC2.32.6
Corners · Real Salt Lake2.32.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Seattle Sounders FC 1 · Draws 1 · Real Salt Lake 3
Real Salt Lake in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2026Real Salt Lake 2–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Oct 2025Seattle Sounders FC 1–0 Real Salt Lake
Mar 2025Real Salt Lake 2–0 Seattle Sounders FC
May 2024Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake
May 2024Real Salt Lake 2–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Seattle Sounders FC beat Real Salt Lake 2–0. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 12 (2), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Seattle Sounders FC 2–0 Real Salt Lake, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 51%, the draw 24% and Real Salt Lake 25%.

What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.4, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 1–0, Corners 7–6, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–2.

Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?

No. It finished 2–0, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 75%, it finished Seattle Sounders FC won (51% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Seattle Sounders FC to win 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Seattle Sounders FC form →Real Salt Lake form →