Sheffield United vs Bolton Wanderers prediction — Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 19:45 UK

Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 19:45 UK
Sheffield United 56Draw 24Bolton Wanderers 20
Our call before kickoff
80%
Sheffield United or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Sheffield United beat Bolton Wanderers 3–2. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Sheffield United had 13 shots (5 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 18 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.

Sheffield…Full-time statsBolton…
53%Possession47%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.7
13Shots18
5Shots on target6
9Shots inside box14
3Big chances3
5Corners5
4Saves1
8Fouls13
3Offsides2
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSheffield United or draw 80%Sheffield United won (56% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score56%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Sheffield UnitedBolton Wanderers
1.9
Goals+0.8
1.1
14.1
Shots+3.1
10.9
4.9
On target+1.4
3.4
5.5
Corners+0.9
4.7
Sheffield UnitedBolton Wanderers
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.4
6.5
Shots+1.5
5.0
2.2
On target+0.7
1.5
2.6
Corners+0.4
2.2
Sheffield UnitedBolton Wanderers
1.4
Goals+0.7
0.7
7.5
Shots+1.6
6.0
2.6
On target+0.7
1.9
2.9
Corners+0.5
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Sheffield United to score85%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Bolton Wanderers to score66%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

Sheffield United
53%
to score before half-time
Bolton Wanderers
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Sheffield UnitedBolton Wanderers
6.51st-half shots5.0
2.21st-half shots on target1.5
2.61st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

59%Chance of 6+ shots38%
34%Chance of 8+ shots18%
86%Chance of 1+ shots on target74%
38%Chance of 3+ shots on target21%
68%Chance of 2+ corners59%
27%Chance of 4+ corners20%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Sheffield United6.57.5
Shots · Bolton Wanderers5.06.0
Shots on target · Sheffield United2.22.6
Shots on target · Bolton Wanderers1.51.9
Corners · Sheffield United2.62.9
Corners · Bolton Wanderers2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Bolton Wanderers in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sheffield United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Sheffield United beat Bolton Wanderers 3–2. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Sheffield United had 13 shots (5 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 18 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.

What was the final score in Sheffield United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Sheffield United 3–2 Bolton Wanderers, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sheffield United 56%, the draw 24% and Bolton Wanderers 20%.

What were the stats in Sheffield United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.7, Shots 13–18, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 9–14, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–5, Saves 4–1, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Sheffield United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Yes — both Sheffield United and Bolton Wanderers scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sheffield United vs Bolton Wanderers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sheffield United or draw 80%, it finished Sheffield United won (56% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Sheffield United form →Bolton Wanderers form →