Sheffield United beat Bolton Wanderers 3–2. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Sheffield United had 13 shots (5 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 18 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Sheffield United beat Bolton Wanderers 3–2. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Sheffield United had 13 shots (5 on target) to Bolton Wanderers' 18 (6), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.
Sheffield United 3–2 Bolton Wanderers, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sheffield United 56%, the draw 24% and Bolton Wanderers 20%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.7, Shots 13–18, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 9–14, Big chances 3–3, Corners 5–5, Saves 4–1, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Sheffield United and Bolton Wanderers scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sheffield United or draw 80%, it finished Sheffield United won (56% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.