How it finished
Swansea City beat Watford 2–0. Bawler's model had Swansea City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Swansea City had 18 shots (8 on target) to Watford's 9 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 58%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Swansea City vs Watford?
Swansea City beat Watford 2–0. Bawler's model had Swansea City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Swansea City had 18 shots (8 on target) to Watford's 9 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Swansea City vs Watford?
Swansea City 2–0 Watford, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Swansea City 42%, the draw 28% and Watford 30%.
What were the stats in Swansea City vs Watford?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.8, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 10–8, Big chances 6–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–6, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 0–4.
Did both teams score in Swansea City vs Watford?
No. It finished 2–0, so Watford failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Swansea City vs Watford right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Swansea City or draw 70%, it finished Swansea City won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 72%, it finished Landed.