How it finished
Ajax Amsterdam beat Telstar 4–0. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (9), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Ajax Amsterdam beat Telstar 4–0. Bawler's model had Ajax Amsterdam in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (4 on target) to Ajax Amsterdam's 12 (9), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.1.
What was the final score in Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Telstar 0–4 Ajax Amsterdam, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Telstar 31%, the draw 24% and Ajax Amsterdam 45%.
What were the stats in Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.1, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 2–4, Corners 5–4, Saves 5–5, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 2–2.
Did both teams score in Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam?
No. It finished 0–4, so Telstar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Ajax Amsterdam or draw 69%, it finished Ajax Amsterdam won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.