Tottenham Hotspur beat Charlton Athletic 5–1. Bawler's model had Tottenham Hotspur in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Tottenham Hotspur had 20 shots (11 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 6 (4), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Tottenham Hotspur beat Charlton Athletic 5–1. Bawler's model had Tottenham Hotspur in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. Tottenham Hotspur had 20 shots (11 on target) to Charlton Athletic's 6 (4), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.4.
Tottenham Hotspur 5–1 Charlton Athletic, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Tottenham Hotspur 71%, the draw 19% and Charlton Athletic 10%.
Full-time: Possession 73%–27%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.4, Shots 20–6, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 14–5, Big chances 0–1, Corners 11–6, Saves 3–6, Fouls 5–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Tottenham Hotspur and Charlton Athletic scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Tottenham Hotspur to win 71%, it finished Tottenham Hotspur won (71% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.