How it finished
Vancouver Whitecaps and D.C. United drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 71% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. Vancouver Whitecaps had 16 shots (9 on target) to D.C. United's 21 (8), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
Vancouver Whitecaps and D.C. United drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 71% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 18%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. Vancouver Whitecaps had 16 shots (9 on target) to D.C. United's 21 (8), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.5.
What was the final score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3 D.C. United, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vancouver Whitecaps 71%, the draw 18% and D.C. United 11%.
What were the stats in Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–2.5, Shots 16–21, Shots on target 9–8, Shots inside box 12–17, Big chances 4–3, Corners 7–10, Saves 4–6, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United?
Yes — both Vancouver Whitecaps and D.C. United scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs D.C. United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 71%, it finished Draw (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.