How it finished
Deportivo beat Villarreal 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Villarreal at 63% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Deportivo 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Villarreal had 17 shots (5 on target) to Deportivo's 8 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Villarreal vs Deportivo?
Deportivo beat Villarreal 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Villarreal at 63% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Deportivo 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Villarreal had 17 shots (5 on target) to Deportivo's 8 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%.
What was the final score in Villarreal vs Deportivo?
Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Villarreal 63%, the draw 22% and Deportivo 16%.
What were the stats in Villarreal vs Deportivo?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Shots 17–8, Shots on target 5–3, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–4, Fouls 14–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Villarreal vs Deportivo?
Yes — both Villarreal and Deportivo scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Villarreal vs Deportivo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Villarreal to win 63%, it finished Deportivo won (16% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.