Villarreal vs Real Betis prediction — LaLiga · Mon 14 Sept · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Mon 14 Sept · 20:00 UK
Villarreal 47Draw 26Real Betis 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Villarreal or draw
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Real Betis beat Villarreal 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Villarreal at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Villarreal had 14 shots (8 on target) to Real Betis' 26 (12), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 3.5.

VillarrealFull-time statsReal Betis
62%Possession38%
1.9Expected goals (xG)3.5
14Shots26
8Shots on target12
11Shots inside box20
2Big chances7
7Corners4
10Saves7
7Fouls8
5Offsides2
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVillarreal or draw 73%Real Betis won (27% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

VillarrealReal Betis
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.2
20.3
Shots+10.1
10.2
9.2
On target+4.7
4.5
10.5
Corners+6.1
4.4
VillarrealReal Betis
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
9.6
Shots+4.8
4.9
4.6
On target+2.5
2.1
4.9
Corners+2.9
2.1
VillarrealReal Betis
1.1
Goals+0.3
0.8
10.7
Shots+5.3
5.3
4.6
On target+2.2
2.4
5.6
Corners+3.2
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Villarreal to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Real Betis to score70%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Villarreal
60%
to score before half-time
Real Betis
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

VillarrealReal Betis
9.61st-half shots4.9
4.61st-half shots on target2.1
4.91st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

58%Chance of 9+ shots10%
38%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
64%Chance of 4+ shots on target19%
32%Chance of 6+ shots on target<10%
68%Chance of 4+ corners18%
37%Chance of 6+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Villarreal9.610.7
Shots · Real Betis4.95.3
Shots on target · Villarreal4.64.6
Shots on target · Real Betis2.12.4
Corners · Villarreal4.95.6
Corners · Real Betis2.12.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Villarreal 2 · Draws 1 · Real Betis 2
Real Betis in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jan 2026Real Betis 2–0 Villarreal
Oct 2025Villarreal 2–2 Real Betis
Apr 2025Real Betis 1–2 Villarreal
Dec 2024Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis
Mar 2024Real Betis 2–3 Villarreal
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Real Betis beat Villarreal 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Villarreal at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Betis 27%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Villarreal had 14 shots (8 on target) to Real Betis' 26 (12), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 3.5.

What was the final score in Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Villarreal 47%, the draw 26% and Real Betis 27%.

What were the stats in Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–3.5, Shots 14–26, Shots on target 8–12, Shots inside box 11–20, Big chances 2–7, Corners 7–4, Saves 10–7, Fouls 7–8, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Yes — both Villarreal and Real Betis scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Villarreal vs Real Betis right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Villarreal or draw 73%, it finished Real Betis won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Villarreal form →Real Betis form →