How it finished
Vitória de Guimaraes beat C.D. Nacional 1–0. Bawler's model had Vitória de Guimaraes in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Vitória de Guimaraes had 23 shots (5 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 7 (0), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional?
Vitória de Guimaraes beat C.D. Nacional 1–0. Bawler's model had Vitória de Guimaraes in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Vitória de Guimaraes had 23 shots (5 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 7 (0), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 3.1 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional?
Vitória de Guimaraes 1–0 C.D. Nacional, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vitória de Guimaraes 46%, the draw 26% and C.D. Nacional 27%.
What were the stats in Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 3.1–0.4, Shots 23–7, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 5–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 0–3, Fouls 18–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional?
No. It finished 1–0, so C.D. Nacional failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vitória de Guimaraes or draw 73%, it finished Vitória de Guimaraes won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed.