Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sept · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 19 Sept · 14:30 UK
Werder Bremen 44Draw 25FC Augsburg 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Werder Bremen or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
66%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–2. Bawler's model had Werder Bremen in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Werder Bremen had 20 shots (11 on target) to FC Augsburg's 7 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.

Werder BremenFull-time statsFC Augsburg
66%Possession34%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.1
20Shots7
11Shots on target4
16Shots inside box5
4Big chances1
2Corners2
2Saves7
10Fouls11
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callWerder Bremen or draw 69%Werder Bremen won (44% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Werder BremenFC Augsburg
1.6
Goals+0.3
1.4
21.2
Shots+5.9
15.3
7.1
On target+1.9
5.2
7.1
Corners+2.6
4.5
Werder BremenFC Augsburg
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
8.5
Shots+2.0
6.6
2.7
On target+0.6
2.1
3.3
Corners+1.2
2.1
Werder BremenFC Augsburg
1.3
Goals+0.4
0.9
12.6
Shots+4.0
8.7
4.4
On target+1.3
3.0
3.8
Corners+1.4
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Werder Bremen to score81%
Over 1.5 goals80%
FC Augsburg to score74%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Werder Bremen
36%
to score before half-time
FC Augsburg
46%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%

Werder BremenFC Augsburg
8.51st-half shots6.6
2.71st-half shots on target2.1
3.31st-half corners2.1

First-half chances

57%Chance of 8+ shots35%
36%Chance of 10+ shots18%
71%Chance of 2+ shots on target59%
29%Chance of 4+ shots on target19%
80%Chance of 2+ corners58%
41%Chance of 4+ corners19%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Werder Bremen8.512.6
Shots · FC Augsburg6.68.7
Shots on target · Werder Bremen2.74.4
Shots on target · FC Augsburg2.13.0
Corners · Werder Bremen3.33.8
Corners · FC Augsburg2.12.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Werder Bremen 1 · Draws 2 · FC Augsburg 2
FC Augsburg in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Werder Bremen 1–3 Augsburg
Dec 2025Augsburg 0–0 Werder Bremen
Jan 2025Werder Bremen 0–2 Augsburg
Aug 2024Augsburg 2–2 Werder Bremen
Apr 2024Augsburg 0–3 Werder Bremen
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–2. Bawler's model had Werder Bremen in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Werder Bremen had 20 shots (11 on target) to FC Augsburg's 7 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Werder Bremen 44%, the draw 25% and FC Augsburg 31%.

What were the stats in Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.1, Shots 20–7, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 16–5, Big chances 4–1, Corners 2–2, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?

Yes — both Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Werder Bremen or draw 69%, it finished Werder Bremen won (44% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Werder Bremen form →FC Augsburg form →