Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–2. Bawler's model had Werder Bremen in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Werder Bremen had 20 shots (11 on target) to FC Augsburg's 7 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–2. Bawler's model had Werder Bremen in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Werder Bremen had 20 shots (11 on target) to FC Augsburg's 7 (4), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.
Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Werder Bremen 44%, the draw 25% and FC Augsburg 31%.
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.1, Shots 20–7, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 16–5, Big chances 4–1, Corners 2–2, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Yes — both Werder Bremen and FC Augsburg scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Werder Bremen or draw 69%, it finished Werder Bremen won (44% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.