How it finished
Birmingham City beat Wrexham 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Wrexham at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Birmingham City 34%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Wrexham had 9 shots (4 on target) to Birmingham City's 10 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Birmingham City beat Wrexham 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Wrexham at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Birmingham City 34%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Wrexham had 9 shots (4 on target) to Birmingham City's 10 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham City, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wrexham 38%, the draw 28% and Birmingham City 34%.
What were the stats in Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.9, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–5, Corners 3–6, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–14, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Wrexham vs Birmingham City?
Yes — both Wrexham and Birmingham City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Wrexham vs Birmingham City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Wrexham or draw 66%, it finished Birmingham City won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.