How it finished
AC Milan beat Lecce 3–0. Bawler's model had AC Milan in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. AC Milan had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lecce's 6 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AC Milan vs Lecce?
AC Milan beat Lecce 3–0. Bawler's model had AC Milan in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. AC Milan had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lecce's 6 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.2.
What was the final score in AC Milan vs Lecce?
AC Milan 3–0 Lecce, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with AC Milan 64%, the draw 22% and Lecce 15%.
What were the stats in AC Milan vs Lecce?
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.2, Shots 10–6, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 5–0, Corners 2–3, Saves 3–1, Fouls 9–15, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in AC Milan vs Lecce?
No. It finished 3–0, so Lecce failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AC Milan vs Lecce right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AC Milan to win 64%, it finished AC Milan won (64% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No.