How it finished
Braga beat Alverca 2–1. Bawler's model had Braga in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Alverca had 6 shots (2 on target) to Braga's 16 (6), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Alverca vs Braga?
Braga beat Alverca 2–1. Bawler's model had Braga in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Alverca had 6 shots (2 on target) to Braga's 16 (6), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.
What was the final score in Alverca vs Braga?
Alverca 1–2 Braga, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alverca 25%, the draw 26% and Braga 49%.
What were the stats in Alverca vs Braga?
Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.3, Shots 6–16, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 3–8, Big chances 2–4, Corners 2–2, Saves 4–1, Fouls 11–15, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Alverca vs Braga?
Yes — both Alverca and Braga scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Alverca vs Braga right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Braga or draw 75%, it finished Braga won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.