How it finished
Lyon beat Anderlecht 2–1. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lyon's 13 (10), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.3, so Anderlecht created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Lyon beat Anderlecht 2–1. Bawler's model had Lyon in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Anderlecht had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lyon's 13 (10), with 58% of the ball against 42%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.3, so Anderlecht created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Anderlecht 1–2 Lyon, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Anderlecht 22%, the draw 23% and Lyon 54%.
What were the stats in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.3, Shots 14–13, Shots on target 5–10, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 4–1, Corners 6–4, Saves 8–3, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 3–5, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Anderlecht vs Lyon?
Yes — both Anderlecht and Lyon scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Anderlecht vs Lyon right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lyon or draw 78%, it finished Lyon won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes.