How it finished
Benfica beat Estoril 2–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Benfica had 25 shots (8 on target) to Estoril's 4 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Benfica vs Estoril?
Benfica beat Estoril 2–1. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Benfica had 25 shots (8 on target) to Estoril's 4 (2), with 66% of the ball against 34%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Benfica vs Estoril?
Benfica 2–1 Estoril, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 76%, the draw 16% and Estoril 9%.
What were the stats in Benfica vs Estoril?
Full-time: Possession 66%–34%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.4, Shots 25–4, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 15–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 9–0, Saves 1–6, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Benfica vs Estoril?
Yes — both Benfica and Estoril scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Benfica vs Estoril right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Benfica to win 76%, it finished Benfica won (76% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes.