How it finished
Braga beat Estoril 1–0. Bawler's model had Braga in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Braga had 20 shots (7 on target) to Estoril's 12 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Braga vs Estoril?
Braga beat Estoril 1–0. Bawler's model had Braga in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Braga had 20 shots (7 on target) to Estoril's 12 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Braga vs Estoril?
Braga 1–0 Estoril, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Braga 65%, the draw 21% and Estoril 15%.
What were the stats in Braga vs Estoril?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.5, Shots 20–12, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 3–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–4, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Braga vs Estoril?
No. It finished 1–0, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Braga vs Estoril right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Braga to win 65%, it finished Braga won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.