Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Athletic Club 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Celta Vigo had 8 shots (2 on target) to Athletic Club's 17 (7), with 54% of the ball against 47%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Athletic Club 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Celta Vigo had 8 shots (2 on target) to Athletic Club's 17 (7), with 54% of the ball against 47%.
Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 46%, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 27%.
Full-time: Possession 54%–47%, Shots 8–17, Shots on target 2–7, Corners 4–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–3.
No. It finished 0–2, so Celta Vigo failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celta Vigo or draw 73%, it finished Athletic Club won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed.