Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club prediction — LaLiga · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK
Celta Vigo 46Draw 27Athletic Club 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Celta Vigo or draw
Missed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
63%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
48%

How it finished

Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Athletic Club 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Celta Vigo had 8 shots (2 on target) to Athletic Club's 17 (7), with 54% of the ball against 47%.

Celta VigoFull-time statsAthletic Club
54%Possession47%
8Shots17
2Shots on target7
4Corners7
5Saves2
8Fouls17
3Offsides0
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCelta Vigo or draw 73%Athletic Club won (27% called)
Total goals2.62
Both teams to score52%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 73%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Celta VigoAthletic Club
1.5
Goals+0.4
1.1
11.1
Shots
11.2
4.5
On target+0.7
3.8
4.1
Corners+0.1
4.2
Celta VigoAthletic Club
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.3
4.7
Shots+0.4
5.1
2.0
On target+0.4
1.6
1.9
Corners
2.0
Celta VigoAthletic Club
1.0
Goals+0.2
0.8
6.5
Shots+0.4
6.0
2.5
On target+0.3
2.2
2.2
Corners
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Celta Vigo to score78%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Athletic Club to score67%

First half — what we expected

Celta Vigo
47%
to score before half-time
Athletic Club
30%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%

Celta VigoAthletic Club
4.71st-half shots5.1
2.01st-half shots on target1.6
1.91st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

62%Chance of 4+ shots68%
34%Chance of 6+ shots40%
82%Chance of 1+ shots on target76%
32%Chance of 3+ shots on target23%
80%Chance of 1+ corners81%
31%Chance of 3+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Celta Vigo4.76.5
Shots · Athletic Club5.16.0
Shots on target · Celta Vigo2.02.5
Shots on target · Athletic Club1.62.2
Corners · Celta Vigo1.92.2
Corners · Athletic Club2.02.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Celta Vigo 2 · Draws 1 · Athletic Club 2
Athletic Club in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Athletic Club 1–1 Celta Vigo
Dec 2025Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Club
Jan 2025Celta Vigo 1–2 Athletic Club
Sept 2024Athletic Club 3–1 Celta Vigo
May 2024Celta Vigo 2–1 Athletic Club
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Athletic Club beat Celta Vigo 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Athletic Club 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Celta Vigo had 8 shots (2 on target) to Athletic Club's 17 (7), with 54% of the ball against 47%.

What was the final score in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Club, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 46%, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 27%.

What were the stats in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

Full-time: Possession 54%–47%, Shots 8–17, Shots on target 2–7, Corners 4–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club?

No. It finished 0–2, so Celta Vigo failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celta Vigo or draw 73%, it finished Athletic Club won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Celta Vigo form →Athletic Club form →