Celtic vs Falkirk prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Celtic 71Draw 18Falkirk 11
Our call before kickoff
71%
Celtic to win
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Celtic beat Falkirk 2–1. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Celtic had 19 shots (8 on target) to Falkirk's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.5.

CelticFull-time statsFalkirk
56%Possession44%
2.9Expected goals (xG)0.5
19Shots5
8Shots on target1
13Shots inside box3
6Big chances1
6Corners3
1Saves6
7Fouls14
2Offsides3
1Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callCeltic to win 71%Celtic won (71% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score52%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

CelticFalkirk
2.4
Goals+1.5
0.9
14.9
Shots+6.5
8.4
5.6
On target+2.9
2.8
5.9
Corners+2.4
3.5
CelticFalkirk
0.6
Goals+0.4
0.3
7.2
Shots+3.4
3.8
2.7
On target+1.4
1.3
2.8
Corners+1.1
1.7
CelticFalkirk
1.8
Goals+1.2
0.6
7.8
Shots+3.1
4.6
3.0
On target+1.5
1.5
3.2
Corners+1.3
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Celtic to score91%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Celtic
64%
to score before half-time
Falkirk
26%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

CelticFalkirk
7.21st-half shots3.8
2.71st-half shots on target1.3
2.81st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

66%Chance of 6+ shots22%
42%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
70%Chance of 2+ shots on target34%
29%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
71%Chance of 2+ corners46%
31%Chance of 4+ corners12%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Celtic7.27.8
Shots · Falkirk3.84.6
Shots on target · Celtic2.73.0
Shots on target · Falkirk1.31.5
Corners · Celtic2.83.2
Corners · Falkirk1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Celtic 5 · Draws 0 · Falkirk 0
Falkirk in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Celtic 3–1 Falkirk
Feb 2026Celtic 2–0 Falkirk
Jan 2026Falkirk 0–1 Celtic
Oct 2025Celtic 4–0 Falkirk
Aug 2025Celtic 4–1 Falkirk
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Celtic vs Falkirk?

Celtic beat Falkirk 2–1. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 71% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Celtic had 19 shots (8 on target) to Falkirk's 5 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Celtic vs Falkirk?

Celtic 2–1 Falkirk, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celtic 71%, the draw 18% and Falkirk 11%.

What were the stats in Celtic vs Falkirk?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–0.5, Shots 19–5, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 13–3, Big chances 6–1, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–6, Fouls 7–14, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–4.

Did both teams score in Celtic vs Falkirk?

Yes — both Celtic and Falkirk scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Celtic vs Falkirk right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celtic to win 71%, it finished Celtic won (71% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Celtic form →Falkirk form →