How it finished
Charlotte FC beat D.C. United 2–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 30 shots (10 on target) to Charlotte FC's 10 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 2.9 to 0.9, so D.C. United created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?
Charlotte FC beat D.C. United 2–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 30 shots (10 on target) to Charlotte FC's 10 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 2.9 to 0.9, so D.C. United created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?
D.C. United 1–2 Charlotte FC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 36%, the draw 26% and Charlotte FC 38%.
What were the stats in D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–0.9, Shots 30–10, Shots on target 10–7, Shots inside box 15–5, Big chances 5–1, Corners 4–3, Saves 5–9, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in D.C. United vs Charlotte FC?
Yes — both D.C. United and Charlotte FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for D.C. United vs Charlotte FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 64%, it finished Charlotte FC won (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.