How it finished
Excelsior beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–1. Bawler's model had Excelsior in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Excelsior had 15 shots (5 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 10 (2), with 44% of the ball against 56%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Excelsior beat Sparta Rotterdam 2–1. Bawler's model had Excelsior in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Excelsior had 15 shots (5 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 10 (2), with 44% of the ball against 56%.
What was the final score in Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Excelsior 47%, the draw 25% and Sparta Rotterdam 28%.
What were the stats in Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 5–2, Corners 6–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 13–7, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Yes — both Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Excelsior or draw 72%, it finished Excelsior won (47% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.