Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Heart of Midlothian 66Draw 20St Johnstone 14
Our call before kickoff
66%
Heart of Midlothian to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Heart of Midlothian beat St Johnstone 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 16 shots (7 on target) to St Johnstone's 9 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.

Heart of…Full-time statsSt Johnstone
47%Possession53%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.2
16Shots9
7Shots on target4
9Shots inside box8
2Big chances1
8Corners4
3Saves7
11Fouls14
1Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHeart of Midlothian to win 66%Heart of Midlothian won (66% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score52%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Heart of MidlothianSt Johnstone
2.2
Goals+1.3
0.9
13.9
Shots+8.6
5.3
5.3
On target+2.1
3.1
Heart of MidlothianSt Johnstone
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.3
6.5
Shots+4.1
2.4
2.1
On target+0.7
1.4
Heart of MidlothianSt Johnstone
1.6
Goals+1.0
0.6
7.4
Shots+4.6
2.9
3.2
On target+1.5
1.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Heart of Midlothian to score89%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Heart of Midlothian
57%
to score before half-time
St Johnstone
33%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Heart of MidlothianSt Johnstone
6.51st-half shots2.4
2.11st-half shots on target1.4
2.31st-half corners0.2

First-half chances

71%Chance of 5+ shots14%
45%Chance of 7+ shots<10%
84%Chance of 1+ shots on target71%
34%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
86%Chance of 1+ corners13%
39%Chance of 3+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Heart of Midlothian6.57.4
Shots · St Johnstone2.42.9
Shots on target · Heart of Midlothian2.13.2
Shots on target · St Johnstone1.41.7
Corners · Heart of Midlothian2.32.6
Corners · St Johnstone0.20.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Heart of Midlothian 5 · Draws 0 · St Johnstone 0
St Johnstone in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2025Heart of Midlothian 2–1 St. Johnstone
Feb 2025St. Johnstone 1–2 Heart of Midlothian
Dec 2024Heart of Midlothian 2–1 St. Johnstone
Nov 2024St. Johnstone 1–2 Heart of Midlothian
Feb 2024St. Johnstone 0–1 Heart of Midlothian
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Heart of Midlothian beat St Johnstone 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 16 shots (7 on target) to St Johnstone's 9 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Heart of Midlothian 2–1 St Johnstone, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 66%, the draw 20% and St Johnstone 14%.

What were the stats in Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.2, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 8–4, Saves 3–7, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 1–1.

Did both teams score in Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone?

Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and St Johnstone scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Heart of Midlothian vs St Johnstone right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heart of Midlothian to win 66%, it finished Heart of Midlothian won (66% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Heart of Midlothian form →St Johnstone form →