Heart of Midlothian beat St Johnstone 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 16 shots (7 on target) to St Johnstone's 9 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Heart of Midlothian beat St Johnstone 2–1. Bawler's model had Heart of Midlothian in front at 66% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Heart of Midlothian had 16 shots (7 on target) to St Johnstone's 9 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.2.
Heart of Midlothian 2–1 St Johnstone, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Heart of Midlothian 66%, the draw 20% and St Johnstone 14%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.2, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 8–4, Saves 3–7, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 1–1.
Yes — both Heart of Midlothian and St Johnstone scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Heart of Midlothian to win 66%, it finished Heart of Midlothian won (66% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.