How it finished
Sporting Kansas City beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 21 shots (4 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 10 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.2, so Houston Dynamo FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Sporting Kansas City beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Houston Dynamo FC at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 18%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 21 shots (4 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 10 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.2, so Houston Dynamo FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Houston Dynamo FC 0–2 Sporting Kansas City, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 60%, the draw 23% and Sporting Kansas City 18%.
What were the stats in Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.2, Shots 21–10, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 15–7, Big chances 0–1, Corners 8–2, Saves 2–4, Fouls 3–11, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–4, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
No. It finished 0–2, so Houston Dynamo FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Houston Dynamo FC vs Sporting Kansas City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Houston Dynamo FC to win 60%, it finished Sporting Kansas City won (18% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Houston Dynamo FC or draw 82%, it finished Missed.