How it finished
Inter Miami CF beat D.C. United 4–0. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 17 shots (9 on target) to D.C. United's 15 (2), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?
Inter Miami CF beat D.C. United 4–0. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 17 shots (9 on target) to D.C. United's 15 (2), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?
Inter Miami CF 4–0 D.C. United, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 59%, the draw 21% and D.C. United 21%.
What were the stats in Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–0.6, Shots 17–15, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 5–0, Corners 4–2, Saves 2–5, Fouls 17–6, Offsides 0–1.
Did both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United?
No. It finished 4–0, so D.C. United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF or draw 79%, it finished Inter Miami CF won (59% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 88%, it finished Landed.