Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC prediction — MLS · Mon 21 Sept · 00:00 UK

MLS · Mon 21 Sept · 00:00 UK
Inter Miami CF 57Draw 20San Diego FC 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Inter Miami CF or draw
Landed
3.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
83%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
71%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
75%

How it finished

Inter Miami CF and San Diego FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 19 shots (8 on target) to San Diego FC's 8 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.8.

Inter MiamiFull-time statsSan Diego FC
49%Possession51%
1.5Expected goals (xG)1.8
19Shots8
8Shots on target3
11Shots inside box4
3Big chances3
4Corners1
1Saves6
20Fouls10
1Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callInter Miami CF or draw 77%Draw (20% called)
Total goals3.94
Both teams to score71%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 90%Landed
Second pickOver 3.5 goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Inter Miami CFSan Diego FC
2.4
Goals+0.9
1.5
18.7
Shots+5.0
13.7
7.4
On target+1.9
5.5
6.0
Corners+0.6
5.5
Inter Miami CFSan Diego FC
0.7
Goals+0.3
0.4
8.7
Shots+2.8
5.9
3.5
On target+1.2
2.3
2.8
Corners+0.3
2.6
Inter Miami CFSan Diego FC
1.7
Goals+0.6
1.1
10.0
Shots+2.1
7.8
3.9
On target+0.7
3.2
3.2
Corners+0.3
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Inter Miami CF to score91%
Over 1.5 goals90%
San Diego FC to score78%
Over 2.5 goals75%

First half — what we expected

Inter Miami CF
70%
to score before half-time
San Diego FC
45%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%

Inter Miami CFSan Diego FC
8.71st-half shots5.9
3.51st-half shots on target2.3
2.81st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

60%Chance of 8+ shots27%
38%Chance of 10+ shots13%
65%Chance of 3+ shots on target39%
29%Chance of 5+ shots on target11%
72%Chance of 2+ corners67%
32%Chance of 4+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Inter Miami CF8.710.0
Shots · San Diego FC5.97.8
Shots on target · Inter Miami CF3.53.9
Shots on target · San Diego FC2.33.2
Corners · Inter Miami CF2.83.2
Corners · San Diego FC2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
San Diego FC in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC?

Inter Miami CF and San Diego FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 19 shots (8 on target) to San Diego FC's 8 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC?

Inter Miami CF 2–2 San Diego FC, played on 21 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 57%, the draw 20% and San Diego FC 23%.

What were the stats in Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.8, Shots 19–8, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 20–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC?

Yes — both Inter Miami CF and San Diego FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 71% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF or draw 77%, it finished Draw (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 71%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 90%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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