Inter Miami CF and San Diego FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 19 shots (8 on target) to San Diego FC's 8 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Inter Miami CF and San Diego FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Inter Miami CF at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.9 goals and the match produced 4. Inter Miami CF had 19 shots (8 on target) to San Diego FC's 8 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.8.
Inter Miami CF 2–2 San Diego FC, played on 21 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 57%, the draw 20% and San Diego FC 23%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.8, Shots 19–8, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 11–4, Big chances 3–3, Corners 4–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 20–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Yes — both Inter Miami CF and San Diego FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 71% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Inter Miami CF or draw 77%, it finished Draw (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 71%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 90%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.