How it finished
Arsenal beat Ipswich Town 4–2. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Ipswich Town had 8 shots (3 on target) to Arsenal's 12 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Arsenal beat Ipswich Town 4–2. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 6. Ipswich Town had 8 shots (3 on target) to Arsenal's 12 (6), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Ipswich Town 2–4 Arsenal, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Ipswich Town 13%, the draw 22% and Arsenal 65%.
What were the stats in Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.0, Shots 8–12, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 3–2, Saves 2–1, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Arsenal?
Yes — both Ipswich Town and Arsenal scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Ipswich Town vs Arsenal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Arsenal to win 65%, it finished Arsenal won (65% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.