How it finished
Lazio and AC Milan drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AC Milan at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Lazio had 8 shots (6 on target) to AC Milan's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lazio vs AC Milan?
Lazio and AC Milan drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AC Milan at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Lazio had 8 shots (6 on target) to AC Milan's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Lazio vs AC Milan?
Lazio 2–2 AC Milan, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lazio 33%, the draw 28% and AC Milan 39%.
What were the stats in Lazio vs AC Milan?
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.1, Shots 8–16, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 4–3, Corners 2–5, Saves 5–4, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Lazio vs AC Milan?
Yes — both Lazio and AC Milan scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lazio vs AC Milan right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AC Milan or draw 67%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.