How it finished
Liverpool beat Tottenham Hotspur 3–1. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 12 shots (5 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 17 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.3, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Liverpool beat Tottenham Hotspur 3–1. Bawler's model had Liverpool in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Liverpool had 12 shots (5 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 17 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.3, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Liverpool 3–1 Tottenham Hotspur, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 56%, the draw 24% and Tottenham Hotspur 20%.
What were the stats in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.3, Shots 12–17, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–9, Saves 5–2, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Yes — both Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Liverpool or draw 80%, it finished Liverpool won (56% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.