New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC prediction — MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 00:30 UK
New England Revolution 52Draw 22Orlando City SC 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
New England Revolution or draw
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
67%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
68%

How it finished

New England Revolution beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had New England Revolution in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. New England Revolution had 17 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.

New England…Full-time statsOrlando City
51%Possession49%
1.8Expected goals (xG)1.4
17Shots11
9Shots on target5
8Shots inside box5
5Big chances2
10Corners3
3Saves5
7Fouls5
4Offsides0
4Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNew England Revolution or draw 74%New England Revolution won (52% called)
Total goals3.56
Both teams to score67%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 87%Landed
Second pickNew England Revolution to win 52%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
2.1
Goals+0.6
1.4
19.9
Shots+6.8
13.1
6.6
On target+1.7
5.0
5.3
Corners+1.5
3.8
New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
9.1
Shots+3.4
5.6
3.1
On target+1.1
2.0
2.5
Corners+0.7
1.8
New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.0
10.8
Shots+3.4
7.4
3.6
On target+0.6
3.0
2.8
Corners+0.8
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
New England Revolution to score88%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Orlando City SC to score76%
Over 2.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

New England Revolution
53%
to score before half-time
Orlando City SC
39%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
9.11st-half shots5.6
3.11st-half shots on target2.0
2.51st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

63%Chance of 8+ shots24%
42%Chance of 10+ shots11%
77%Chance of 2+ shots on target55%
37%Chance of 4+ shots on target16%
88%Chance of 1+ corners78%
43%Chance of 3+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · New England Revolution9.110.8
Shots · Orlando City SC5.67.4
Shots on target · New England Revolution3.13.6
Shots on target · Orlando City SC2.03.0
Corners · New England Revolution2.52.8
Corners · Orlando City SC1.82.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5New England Revolution 0 · Draws 1 · Orlando City SC 4
Orlando City SC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026New England Revolution 3–4 Orlando City
Jul 2025New England Revolution 1–2 Orlando City
May 2025Orlando City 3–3 New England Revolution
Sept 2024Orlando City 3–0 New England Revolution
Jul 2024New England Revolution 1–3 Orlando City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

New England Revolution beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had New England Revolution in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. New England Revolution had 17 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.

What was the final score in New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

New England Revolution 4–2 Orlando City SC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New England Revolution 52%, the draw 22% and Orlando City SC 26%.

What were the stats in New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.4, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 8–5, Big chances 5–2, Corners 10–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 7–5, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 4–0.

Did both teams score in New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?

Yes — both New England Revolution and Orlando City SC scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New England Revolution or draw 74%, it finished New England Revolution won (52% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said New England Revolution to win 52%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →New England Revolution form →Orlando City SC form →