New England Revolution beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had New England Revolution in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. New England Revolution had 17 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
New England Revolution beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had New England Revolution in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. New England Revolution had 17 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.
New England Revolution 4–2 Orlando City SC, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New England Revolution 52%, the draw 22% and Orlando City SC 26%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.4, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 9–5, Shots inside box 8–5, Big chances 5–2, Corners 10–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 7–5, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 4–0.
Yes — both New England Revolution and Orlando City SC scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New England Revolution or draw 74%, it finished New England Revolution won (52% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said New England Revolution to win 52%, it finished Landed.