How it finished
Norwich City beat Burnley 4–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Norwich City had 20 shots (6 on target) to Burnley's 16 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Norwich City vs Burnley?
Norwich City beat Burnley 4–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Norwich City had 20 shots (6 on target) to Burnley's 16 (4), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Norwich City vs Burnley?
Norwich City 4–1 Burnley, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Norwich City 37%, the draw 27% and Burnley 36%.
What were the stats in Norwich City vs Burnley?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.0, Shots 20–16, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 12–10, Big chances 4–1, Corners 3–5, Saves 3–2, Fouls 14–5, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Norwich City vs Burnley?
Yes — both Norwich City and Burnley scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Norwich City vs Burnley right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Norwich City or draw 64%, it finished Norwich City won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.