Orlando City SC beat San Diego FC 1–0. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Orlando City SC had 15 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 7 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Orlando City SC beat San Diego FC 1–0. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Orlando City SC had 15 shots (5 on target) to San Diego FC's 7 (2), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.5.
Orlando City SC 1–0 San Diego FC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 42%, the draw 23% and San Diego FC 35%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.5, Shots 15–7, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 12–2, Big chances 5–2, Corners 6–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 3–2.
No. It finished 1–0, so San Diego FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 69% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Orlando City SC or draw 65%, it finished Orlando City SC won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 69%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Missed.