Espanyol beat Osasuna 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Osasuna at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Espanyol 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Osasuna had 12 shots (5 on target) to Espanyol's 6 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Espanyol beat Osasuna 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Osasuna at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Espanyol 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Osasuna had 12 shots (5 on target) to Espanyol's 6 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.4.
Osasuna 0–2 Espanyol, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Osasuna 49%, the draw 26% and Espanyol 25%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.4, Shots 12–6, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 5–3, Big chances 1–2, Corners 3–4, Saves 1–4, Fouls 10–24, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 0–2, so Osasuna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Osasuna or draw 75%, it finished Espanyol won (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.