Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction — LaLiga · Sat 12 Sept · 15:15 UK

LaLiga · Sat 12 Sept · 15:15 UK
Osasuna 49Draw 26Espanyol 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
Osasuna or draw
Missed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
69%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Espanyol beat Osasuna 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Osasuna at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Espanyol 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Osasuna had 12 shots (5 on target) to Espanyol's 6 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.4.

OsasunaFull-time statsEspanyol
61%Possession39%
0.9Expected goals (xG)1.4
12Shots6
5Shots on target3
5Shots inside box3
1Big chances2
3Corners4
1Saves4
10Fouls24
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callOsasuna or draw 75%Espanyol won (25% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score53%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 75%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

OsasunaEspanyol
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.1
15.8
Shots+8.1
7.6
5.1
On target+2.4
2.7
OsasunaEspanyol
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.3
7.5
Shots+4.2
3.3
2.5
On target+1.3
1.2
OsasunaEspanyol
1.0
Goals+0.3
0.8
8.3
Shots+4.0
4.3
2.7
On target+1.2
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Osasuna to score80%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Espanyol to score66%

First half — what we expected

Osasuna
55%
to score before half-time
Espanyol
31%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%

OsasunaEspanyol
7.51st-half shots3.3
2.51st-half shots on target1.2
2.21st-half corners0.3

First-half chances

69%Chance of 6+ shots16%
45%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
88%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
43%Chance of 3+ shots on target14%
84%Chance of 1+ corners25%
36%Chance of 3+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Osasuna7.58.3
Shots · Espanyol3.34.3
Shots on target · Osasuna2.52.7
Shots on target · Espanyol1.21.5
Corners · Osasuna2.22.4
Corners · Espanyol0.30.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Osasuna 1 · Draws 2 · Espanyol 2
Espanyol in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2026Osasuna 1–2 Espanyol
Aug 2025Espanyol 1–0 Osasuna
May 2025Osasuna 2–0 Espanyol
Dec 2024Espanyol 0–0 Osasuna
Feb 2023Espanyol 1–1 Osasuna
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Espanyol beat Osasuna 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Osasuna at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Espanyol 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Osasuna had 12 shots (5 on target) to Espanyol's 6 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Osasuna 0–2 Espanyol, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Osasuna 49%, the draw 26% and Espanyol 25%.

What were the stats in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.4, Shots 12–6, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 5–3, Big chances 1–2, Corners 3–4, Saves 1–4, Fouls 10–24, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

No. It finished 0–2, so Osasuna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Osasuna vs Espanyol right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Osasuna or draw 75%, it finished Espanyol won (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Osasuna form →Espanyol form →