How it finished
Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 6. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
Philadelphia Union beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Bawler's model had Philadelphia Union in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 6. Philadelphia Union had 20 shots (9 on target) to Orlando City SC's 11 (2), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 60%, the draw 20% and Orlando City SC 20%.
What were the stats in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.1, Shots 20–11, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 6–2, Corners 7–7, Saves 0–5, Fouls 19–13, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC?
Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union to win 60%, it finished Philadelphia Union won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.