Real Betis vs Getafe prediction — LaLiga · Thu 17 Sept · 18:00 UK

LaLiga · Thu 17 Sept · 18:00 UK
Real Betis 54Draw 27Getafe 19
Our call before kickoff
81%
Real Betis or draw
Landed
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
69%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
44%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
42%

How it finished

Real Betis beat Getafe 1–0. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 22 shots (8 on target) to Getafe's 8 (2), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.

Real BetisFull-time statsGetafe
75%Possession25%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.3
22Shots8
8Shots on target2
9Shots inside box3
4Big chances0
4Corners3
2Saves6
13Fouls24
0Offsides3
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callReal Betis or draw 81%Real Betis won (54% called)
Total goals2.41
Both teams to score44%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Real BetisGetafe
1.6
Goals+0.7
0.8
14.7
Shots+1.2
15.9
7.0
On target+4.0
3.1
5.0
Corners+0.7
5.7
Real BetisGetafe
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
6.7
Shots+0.4
7.1
3.1
On target+1.8
1.2
2.3
Corners+0.3
2.7
Real BetisGetafe
1.0
Goals+0.5
0.5
8.0
Shots+0.8
8.8
3.9
On target+2.1
1.8
2.6
Corners+0.4
3.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Real Betis to score79%
Under 3.5 goals79%
Over 1.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Real Betis
57%
to score before half-time
Getafe
29%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%

Real BetisGetafe
6.71st-half shots7.1
3.11st-half shots on target1.2
2.31st-half corners2.7

First-half chances

61%Chance of 6+ shots65%
36%Chance of 8+ shots41%
77%Chance of 2+ shots on target34%
37%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
63%Chance of 2+ corners69%
23%Chance of 4+ corners29%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Real Betis6.78.0
Shots · Getafe7.18.8
Shots on target · Real Betis3.13.9
Shots on target · Getafe1.21.8
Corners · Real Betis2.32.6
Corners · Getafe2.73.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Real Betis 3 · Draws 1 · Getafe 1
Getafe in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2026Getafe 2–0 Real Betis
Dec 2025Real Betis 4–0 Getafe
Feb 2025Getafe 1–2 Real Betis
Sept 2024Real Betis 2–1 Getafe
Feb 2024Real Betis 1–1 Getafe
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Betis vs Getafe?

Real Betis beat Getafe 1–0. Bawler's model had Real Betis in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Real Betis had 22 shots (8 on target) to Getafe's 8 (2), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Real Betis vs Getafe?

Real Betis 1–0 Getafe, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Betis 54%, the draw 27% and Getafe 19%.

What were the stats in Real Betis vs Getafe?

Full-time: Possession 75%–25%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.3, Shots 22–8, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 9–3, Big chances 4–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–6, Fouls 13–24, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–5, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Real Betis vs Getafe?

No. It finished 1–0, so Getafe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Betis vs Getafe right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Betis or draw 81%, it finished Real Betis won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

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