Real Salt Lake and LAFC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (9 on target) to LAFC's 18 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Real Salt Lake and LAFC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (9 on target) to LAFC's 18 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
Real Salt Lake 2–2 LAFC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 32%, the draw 26% and LAFC 42%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Shots 22–18, Shots on target 9–6, Corners 5–8, Saves 3–7, Fouls 5–7, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–0.
Yes — both Real Salt Lake and LAFC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC or draw 68%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.