Real Salt Lake vs LAFC prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 02:30 UK
Real Salt Lake 32Draw 26LAFC 42
Our call before kickoff
68%
LAFC or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Real Salt Lake and LAFC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (9 on target) to LAFC's 18 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%.

Real Salt…Full-time statsLAFC
58%Possession42%
22Shots18
9Shots on target6
5Corners8
3Saves7
5Fouls7
0Offsides0
3Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLAFC or draw 68%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score59%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 79%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Real Salt LakeLAFC
1.4
Goals+0.2
1.6
Real Salt LakeLAFC
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.5
Real Salt LakeLAFC
0.9
Goals+0.2
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
LAFC to score80%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Real Salt Lake to score74%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Real Salt Lake
45%
to score before half-time
LAFC
50%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Real Salt Lake 1 · Draws 1 · LAFC 3
LAFC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jul 2026Los Angeles FC 3–1 Real Salt Lake
Sept 2025Los Angeles FC 4–1 Real Salt Lake
Sept 2025Real Salt Lake 1–4 Los Angeles FC
Jul 2024Los Angeles FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake
Mar 2024Real Salt Lake 3–0 Los Angeles FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Salt Lake vs LAFC?

Real Salt Lake and LAFC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (9 on target) to LAFC's 18 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%.

What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs LAFC?

Real Salt Lake 2–2 LAFC, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 32%, the draw 26% and LAFC 42%.

What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs LAFC?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Shots 22–18, Shots on target 9–6, Corners 5–8, Saves 3–7, Fouls 5–7, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–0.

Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs LAFC?

Yes — both Real Salt Lake and LAFC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs LAFC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC or draw 68%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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