How it finished
AFC Bournemouth beat Real Sociedad 2–1. Bawler's model had AFC Bournemouth in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 16 shots (5 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.8, so Real Sociedad created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Sociedad vs AFC Bournemouth?
AFC Bournemouth beat Real Sociedad 2–1. Bawler's model had AFC Bournemouth in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 16 shots (5 on target) to AFC Bournemouth's 11 (3), with 62% of the ball against 38%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 0.8, so Real Sociedad created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Real Sociedad vs AFC Bournemouth?
Real Sociedad 1–2 AFC Bournemouth, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Sociedad 23%, the draw 23% and AFC Bournemouth 54%.
What were the stats in Real Sociedad vs AFC Bournemouth?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.8, Shots 16–11, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 3–3, Corners 10–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Real Sociedad vs AFC Bournemouth?
Yes — both Real Sociedad and AFC Bournemouth scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Sociedad vs AFC Bournemouth right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AFC Bournemouth or draw 77%, it finished AFC Bournemouth won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes.