How it finished
Sporting CP beat Rio Ave 4–0. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Rio Ave had 6 shots (0 on target) to Sporting CP's 15 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP beat Rio Ave 4–0. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Rio Ave had 6 shots (0 on target) to Sporting CP's 15 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting CP, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rio Ave 12%, the draw 20% and Sporting CP 68%.
What were the stats in Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.9, Shots 6–15, Shots on target 0–7, Shots inside box 3–11, Big chances 0–3, Corners 2–3, Saves 3–0, Fouls 7–14, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
No. It finished 0–4, so Rio Ave failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting CP to win 68%, it finished Sporting CP won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No.