How it finished
Sporting CP beat C.D. Nacional 2–0. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting CP had 19 shots (8 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 3 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Sporting CP vs C.D. Nacional?
Sporting CP beat C.D. Nacional 2–0. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting CP had 19 shots (8 on target) to C.D. Nacional's 3 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.1.
What was the final score in Sporting CP vs C.D. Nacional?
Sporting CP 2–0 C.D. Nacional, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting CP 75%, the draw 17% and C.D. Nacional 9%.
What were the stats in Sporting CP vs C.D. Nacional?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–0.1, Shots 19–3, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 10–0, Big chances 6–0, Corners 12–0, Saves 2–6, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Sporting CP vs C.D. Nacional?
No. It finished 2–0, so C.D. Nacional failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting CP vs C.D. Nacional right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting CP to win 75%, it finished Sporting CP won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished No.