Sporting Kansas City beat LAFC 3–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 17%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Sporting Kansas City had 20 shots (8 on target) to LAFC's 22 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Sporting Kansas City beat LAFC 3–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 17%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Sporting Kansas City had 20 shots (8 on target) to LAFC's 22 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.
Sporting Kansas City 3–1 LAFC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 17%, the draw 22% and LAFC 61%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Shots 20–22, Shots on target 8–8, Corners 6–13, Saves 7–6, Fouls 6–9, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Sporting Kansas City and LAFC scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC to win 61%, it finished Sporting Kansas City won (17% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.