Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC prediction — MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 01:30 UK
Sporting Kansas City 17Draw 22LAFC 61
Our call before kickoff
61%
LAFC to win
Missed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Sporting Kansas City beat LAFC 3–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 17%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Sporting Kansas City had 20 shots (8 on target) to LAFC's 22 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.

Sporting…Full-time statsLAFC
42%Possession58%
20Shots22
8Shots on target8
6Corners13
7Saves6
6Fouls9
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLAFC to win 61%Sporting Kansas City won (17% called)
Total goals3.14
Both teams to score56%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Sporting Kansas CityLAFC
1.0
Goals+1.1
2.1
Sporting Kansas CityLAFC
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
Sporting Kansas CityLAFC
0.7
Goals+0.8
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
LAFC to score88%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Sporting Kansas City to score64%
Under 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Sporting Kansas City
36%
to score before half-time
LAFC
60%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Sporting Kansas City 0 · Draws 0 · LAFC 5
LAFC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Jul 2026Los Angeles FC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City
Jun 2025Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas City
Mar 2025Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FC
Oct 2024Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Los Angeles FC
Sept 2024Los Angeles FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas City
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

Sporting Kansas City beat LAFC 3–1. Bawler's model favoured LAFC at 61% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sporting Kansas City 17%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Sporting Kansas City had 20 shots (8 on target) to LAFC's 22 (8), with 42% of the ball against 58%.

What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

Sporting Kansas City 3–1 LAFC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 17%, the draw 22% and LAFC 61%.

What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Shots 20–22, Shots on target 8–8, Corners 6–13, Saves 7–6, Fouls 6–9, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

Yes — both Sporting Kansas City and LAFC scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said LAFC to win 61%, it finished Sporting Kansas City won (17% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

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