How it finished
St. Louis CITY SC and FC Dallas drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. St. Louis CITY SC had 10 shots (5 on target) to FC Dallas' 12 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won St. Louis CITY SC vs FC Dallas?
St. Louis CITY SC and FC Dallas drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 6. St. Louis CITY SC had 10 shots (5 on target) to FC Dallas' 12 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.8.
What was the final score in St. Louis CITY SC vs FC Dallas?
St. Louis CITY SC 3–3 FC Dallas, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with St. Louis CITY SC 45%, the draw 25% and FC Dallas 29%.
What were the stats in St. Louis CITY SC vs FC Dallas?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.8, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 3–3, Corners 6–3, Saves 4–2, Fouls 8–15, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs FC Dallas?
Yes — both St. Louis CITY SC and FC Dallas scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs FC Dallas right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said St. Louis CITY SC or draw 71%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.