How it finished
Celtic beat St Mirren 2–1. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. St Mirren had 19 shots (6 on target) to Celtic's 23 (8), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won St Mirren vs Celtic?
Celtic beat St Mirren 2–1. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. St Mirren had 19 shots (6 on target) to Celtic's 23 (8), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.9.
What was the final score in St Mirren vs Celtic?
St Mirren 1–2 Celtic, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with St Mirren 17%, the draw 24% and Celtic 59%.
What were the stats in St Mirren vs Celtic?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.9, Shots 19–23, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 8–20, Big chances 2–4, Corners 6–10, Saves 5–5, Fouls 6–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in St Mirren vs Celtic?
Yes — both St Mirren and Celtic scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for St Mirren vs Celtic right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celtic or draw 83%, it finished Celtic won (59% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.