How it finished
St Mirren and Motherwell drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Motherwell at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 6. St Mirren had 23 shots (9 on target) to Motherwell's 22 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won St Mirren vs Motherwell?
St Mirren and Motherwell drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Motherwell at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 6. St Mirren had 23 shots (9 on target) to Motherwell's 22 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 2.2.
What was the final score in St Mirren vs Motherwell?
St Mirren 3–3 Motherwell, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with St Mirren 30%, the draw 29% and Motherwell 41%.
What were the stats in St Mirren vs Motherwell?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–2.2, Shots 23–22, Shots on target 9–7, Shots inside box 17–16, Big chances 4–3, Corners 7–7, Saves 4–6, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in St Mirren vs Motherwell?
Yes — both St Mirren and Motherwell scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for St Mirren vs Motherwell right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Motherwell or draw 70%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 70%, it finished Landed.