Stade Rennais beat Marseille 1–0. Bawler's model had Stade Rennais in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Stade Rennais had 20 shots (7 on target) to Marseille's 13 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Stade Rennais beat Marseille 1–0. Bawler's model had Stade Rennais in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Stade Rennais had 20 shots (7 on target) to Marseille's 13 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%.
Stade Rennais 1–0 Marseille, played on 11 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stade Rennais 43%, the draw 24% and Marseille 33%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Shots 20–13, Shots on target 7–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–6, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
No. It finished 1–0, so Marseille failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stade Rennais or draw 67%, it finished Stade Rennais won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Missed.