Telstar vs SC Cambuur prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 6 Sept · 13:30 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 6 Sept · 13:30 UK
Telstar 66Draw 19SC Cambuur 15
Our call before kickoff
66%
Telstar to win
Missed
3.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
70%

How it finished

Telstar and SC Cambuur drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 19%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (2 on target) to SC Cambuur's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.

TelstarFull-time statsSC Cambuur
42%Possession58%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.0
11Shots8
2Shots on target3
9Shots inside box7
3Big chances1
4Corners2
1Saves0
7Fouls20
2Offsides2
3Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callTelstar to win 66%Draw (19% called)
Total goals3.64
Both teams to score62%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

TelstarSC Cambuur
2.5
Goals+1.3
1.1
23.0
Shots+5.0
18.0
10.3
On target+4.7
5.6
9.1
Corners+3.5
5.5
TelstarSC Cambuur
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
10.1
Shots+1.9
8.2
4.4
On target+1.9
2.5
4.3
Corners+1.7
2.6
TelstarSC Cambuur
1.8
Goals+1.1
0.7
12.9
Shots+3.1
9.8
5.9
On target+2.8
3.1
4.8
Corners+1.9
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Telstar to score92%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
SC Cambuur to score68%

First half — what we expected

Telstar
63%
to score before half-time
SC Cambuur
39%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

TelstarSC Cambuur
10.11st-half shots8.2
4.41st-half shots on target2.5
4.31st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

62%Chance of 9+ shots43%
42%Chance of 11+ shots24%
77%Chance of 3+ shots on target44%
43%Chance of 5+ shots on target13%
75%Chance of 3+ corners46%
41%Chance of 5+ corners15%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Telstar10.112.9
Shots · SC Cambuur8.29.8
Shots on target · Telstar4.45.9
Shots on target · SC Cambuur2.53.1
Corners · Telstar4.34.8
Corners · SC Cambuur2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Telstar 0 · Draws 1 · SC Cambuur 4
SC Cambuur in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jan 2025Cambuur 2–1 Telstar
Nov 2024Telstar 2–2 Cambuur
Mar 2024Cambuur 1–0 Telstar
Aug 2023Telstar 2–3 Cambuur
Jul 2021Cambuur 6–0 Telstar
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Telstar vs SC Cambuur?

Telstar and SC Cambuur drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 19%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (2 on target) to SC Cambuur's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Telstar vs SC Cambuur?

Telstar 2–2 SC Cambuur, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Telstar 66%, the draw 19% and SC Cambuur 15%.

What were the stats in Telstar vs SC Cambuur?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.0, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–0, Fouls 7–20, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–4, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Telstar vs SC Cambuur?

Yes — both Telstar and SC Cambuur scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Telstar vs SC Cambuur right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Telstar to win 66%, it finished Draw (19% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →Telstar form →SC Cambuur form →