Telstar and SC Cambuur drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 19%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (2 on target) to SC Cambuur's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Telstar and SC Cambuur drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 19%. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Telstar had 11 shots (2 on target) to SC Cambuur's 8 (3), with 42% of the ball against 58%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.0.
Telstar 2–2 SC Cambuur, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Telstar 66%, the draw 19% and SC Cambuur 15%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.0, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 4–2, Saves 1–0, Fouls 7–20, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 3–4, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Telstar and SC Cambuur scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Telstar to win 66%, it finished Draw (19% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes.