Watford vs West Ham United prediction — Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Watford 21Draw 25West Ham United 54
Our call before kickoff
79%
West Ham United or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Watford had 15 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 13 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

WatfordFull-time statsWest Ham…
38%Possession62%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.7
15Shots13
4Shots on target1
13Shots inside box6
0Big chances0
3Corners11
1Saves3
9Fouls7
2Offsides3
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callWest Ham United or draw 79%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score53%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

WatfordWest Ham United
1.0
Goals+0.8
1.8
19.0
Shots+8.3
10.6
6.6
On target+2.8
3.8
5.9
Corners+2.1
3.8
WatfordWest Ham United
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
8.5
Shots+3.8
4.7
2.6
On target+1.0
1.6
2.8
Corners+1.0
1.8
WatfordWest Ham United
0.6
Goals+0.7
1.3
10.5
Shots+4.6
5.9
3.9
On target+1.7
2.2
3.1
Corners+1.1
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
West Ham United to score83%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%
Watford to score64%

First half — what we expected

Watford
42%
to score before half-time
West Ham United
49%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

WatfordWest Ham United
8.51st-half shots4.7
2.61st-half shots on target1.6
2.81st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

68%Chance of 7+ shots23%
46%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
70%Chance of 2+ shots on target45%
28%Chance of 4+ shots on target10%
71%Chance of 2+ corners50%
31%Chance of 4+ corners14%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Watford8.510.5
Shots · West Ham United4.75.9
Shots on target · Watford2.63.9
Shots on target · West Ham United1.62.2
Corners · Watford2.83.1
Corners · West Ham United1.82.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Watford 0 · Draws 0 · West Ham United 5
West Ham United in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2022West Ham United 1–0 Watford
Dec 2021Watford 1–4 West Ham United
Jul 2020West Ham United 3–1 Watford
Aug 2019Watford 1–3 West Ham United
May 2019Watford 1–4 West Ham United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Watford vs West Ham United?

Watford and West Ham United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Watford had 15 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 13 (1), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Watford vs West Ham United?

Watford 1–1 West Ham United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Watford 21%, the draw 25% and West Ham United 54%.

What were the stats in Watford vs West Ham United?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.7, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 3–11, Saves 1–3, Fouls 9–7, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Watford vs West Ham United?

Yes — both Watford and West Ham United scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Watford vs West Ham United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 79%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Watford form →West Ham United form →