West Ham United vs Fulham prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 15 Sept · 19:45 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 15 Sept · 19:45 UK
West Ham United 39Draw 27Fulham 34
Our call before kickoff
66%
West Ham United or draw
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
68%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Fulham beat West Ham United 3–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fulham 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. West Ham United had 11 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 12 (6), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.5.

West Ham…Full-time statsFulham
38%Possession62%
1.6Expected goals (xG)2.5
11Shots12
3Shots on target6
10Shots inside box11
4Big chances4
5Corners4
3Saves0
7Fouls7
1Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callWest Ham United or draw 66%Fulham won (34% called)
Total goals2.85
Both teams to score56%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

West Ham UnitedFulham
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.3
17.9
Shots+7.6
10.3
8.0
On target+4.7
3.3
6.7
Corners+1.9
4.8
West Ham UnitedFulham
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
8.0
Shots+3.4
4.6
3.6
On target+2.0
1.6
3.2
Corners+0.9
2.2
West Ham UnitedFulham
1.0
Goals
1.0
9.9
Shots+4.2
5.7
4.5
On target+2.7
1.8
3.6
Corners+1.0
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals77%
West Ham United to score77%
Fulham to score74%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

West Ham United
49%
to score before half-time
Fulham
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%

West Ham UnitedFulham
8.01st-half shots4.6
3.61st-half shots on target1.6
3.21st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

63%Chance of 7+ shots22%
41%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
66%Chance of 3+ shots on target22%
30%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
77%Chance of 2+ corners61%
38%Chance of 4+ corners21%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · West Ham United8.09.9
Shots · Fulham4.65.7
Shots on target · West Ham United3.64.5
Shots on target · Fulham1.61.8
Corners · West Ham United3.23.6
Corners · Fulham2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5West Ham United 2 · Draws 1 · Fulham 2
Fulham in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Fulham 0–1 West Ham United
Dec 2025West Ham United 0–1 Fulham
Jan 2025West Ham United 3–2 Fulham
Sept 2024Fulham 1–1 West Ham United
Apr 2024West Ham United 0–2 Fulham
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won West Ham United vs Fulham?

Fulham beat West Ham United 3–2. Bawler's model favoured West Ham United at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Fulham 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. West Ham United had 11 shots (3 on target) to Fulham's 12 (6), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.5.

What was the final score in West Ham United vs Fulham?

West Ham United 2–3 Fulham, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with West Ham United 39%, the draw 27% and Fulham 34%.

What were the stats in West Ham United vs Fulham?

Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.5, Shots 11–12, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 4–4, Corners 5–4, Saves 3–0, Fouls 7–7, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in West Ham United vs Fulham?

Yes — both West Ham United and Fulham scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for West Ham United vs Fulham right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 66%, it finished Fulham won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →West Ham United form →Fulham form →