How it finished
Alavés beat Osasuna 5–2. Bawler's model had Alavés in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 7. Alavés had 12 shots (7 on target) to Osasuna's 7 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.8, so Osasuna created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Alavés vs Osasuna?
Alavés beat Osasuna 5–2. Bawler's model had Alavés in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 7. Alavés had 12 shots (7 on target) to Osasuna's 7 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.8, so Osasuna created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Alavés vs Osasuna?
Alavés 5–2 Osasuna, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alavés 46%, the draw 27% and Osasuna 26%.
What were the stats in Alavés vs Osasuna?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.8, Shots 12–7, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 3–2, Corners 4–1, Saves 3–2, Fouls 14–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Alavés vs Osasuna?
Yes — both Alavés and Osasuna scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Alavés vs Osasuna right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Alavés or draw 74%, it finished Alavés won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.