How it finished
Atlético Madrid beat Osasuna 4–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Atlético Madrid had 27 shots (11 on target) to Osasuna's 3 (1), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 4.0 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?
Atlético Madrid beat Osasuna 4–0. Bawler's model had Atlético Madrid in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Atlético Madrid had 27 shots (11 on target) to Osasuna's 3 (1), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 4.0 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?
Atlético Madrid 4–0 Osasuna, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Madrid 54%, the draw 24% and Osasuna 22%.
What were the stats in Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 4.0–0.5, Shots 27–3, Shots on target 11–1, Shots inside box 19–3, Big chances 10–1, Corners 8–0, Saves 1–7, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna?
No. It finished 4–0, so Osasuna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlético Madrid or draw 78%, it finished Atlético Madrid won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Atlético Madrid to win 54%, it finished Landed.