How it finished
Lincoln City beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bolton Wanderers at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 36%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Bolton Wanderers had 21 shots (6 on target) to Lincoln City's 8 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.1, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?
Lincoln City beat Bolton Wanderers 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bolton Wanderers at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lincoln City 36%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Bolton Wanderers had 21 shots (6 on target) to Lincoln City's 8 (2), with 69% of the ball against 31%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.1, so Bolton Wanderers created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?
Bolton Wanderers 0–1 Lincoln City, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bolton Wanderers 36%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 36%.
What were the stats in Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.1, Shots 21–8, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 2–1, Corners 14–2, Saves 1–7, Fouls 6–15, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 0–3.
Did both teams score in Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City?
No. It finished 0–1, so Bolton Wanderers failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Lincoln City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bolton Wanderers or draw 64%, it finished Lincoln City won (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.