Braga vs Vitória de Guimaraes prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 31 Aug · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Mon 31 Aug · 20:15 UK
Braga 59Draw 23Vitória de Guimaraes 18
Our call before kickoff
82%
Braga or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
52%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Braga beat Vitória de Guimaraes 1–0. Bawler's model had Braga in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Braga had 9 shots (4 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.2.

BragaFull-time statsVitória de…
54%Possession46%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.2
9Shots8
4Shots on target2
6Shots inside box2
2Big chances1
2Corners2
2Saves3
11Fouls18
5Offsides1
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBraga or draw 82%Braga won (59% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score52%No
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BragaVitória de Guimaraes
1.9
Goals+0.9
1.0
5.6
Shots+5.0
10.7
2.2
On target+0.5
2.8
2.9
Corners
2.9
BragaVitória de Guimaraes
0.7
Goals+0.3
0.3
2.5
Shots+2.4
4.9
1.0
On target+0.2
1.2
1.4
Corners
1.4
BragaVitória de Guimaraes
1.2
Goals+0.6
0.6
3.1
Shots+2.7
5.8
1.2
On target+0.3
1.5
1.6
Corners
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Braga to score85%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Vitória de Guimaraes to score62%

First half — what we expected

Braga
66%
to score before half-time
Vitória de Guimaraes
35%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

BragaVitória de Guimaraes
2.51st-half shots4.9
1.01st-half shots on target1.2
1.41st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

26%Chance of 4+ shots65%
<10%Chance of 6+ shots36%
28%Chance of 2+ shots on target34%
38%Chance of 2+ corners38%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Braga2.53.1
Shots · Vitória de Guimaraes4.95.8
Shots on target · Braga1.01.2
Shots on target · Vitória de Guimaraes1.21.5
Corners · Braga1.41.6
Corners · Vitória de Guimaraes1.41.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.9 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Braga 2 · Draws 2 · Vitória de Guimaraes 1
Vitória de Guimaraes in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Braga 3–2 Vitória de Guimarães
Jan 2026Vitória de Guimarães 2–1 Braga
Sept 2025Vitória de Guimarães 1–1 Braga
Feb 2025Vitória de Guimarães 0–0 Braga
Oct 2024Braga 2–1 Vitória de Guimarães
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Braga vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Braga beat Vitória de Guimaraes 1–0. Bawler's model had Braga in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Braga had 9 shots (4 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Braga vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Braga 1–0 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Braga 59%, the draw 23% and Vitória de Guimaraes 18%.

What were the stats in Braga vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.2, Shots 9–8, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 6–2, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–2, Saves 2–3, Fouls 11–18, Offsides 5–1, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Braga vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

No. It finished 1–0, so Vitória de Guimaraes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Braga vs Vitória de Guimaraes right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Braga or draw 82%, it finished Braga won (59% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Braga form →Vitória de Guimaraes form →